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深圳,北纬22的机会之城

  • 2026-02-07 15:29:57
深圳,北纬22的机会之城
（一）
因为临时有急事，凌晨四点就从北方跑到深圳。
北方的气温是0度左右，在寒风中，人们数着一九、二九、三九，期盼之后的温度反转。
而一下飞机，这个城市的暖和，立竿见影。
晚上，走在深圳街头，也感觉到人流熙攘，小吃沿街展开，烟火气满满。
（二）
其实，温度和经济活跃度大有关系。
这不，这两年三亚都要变成半个东北了。
全球范围来看，有一个规律：温度与经济活跃度呈 “倒 U 型” 关系，最佳区间为 20-22℃，偏离后经济效率下滑。
想一想也合理，太冷和太热，生物都不喜欢，温带才宜居，所以全球经济最佳位置，就在北纬20-40度之间。
深圳，就在22度这一非常理想的位置上，还靠海，堪称理想之城。
（三）
关于对地区富裕的影响因子，有说是地理决定，有说是制度决定。
地理决定论在《钢铁、病菌与枪炮》中多有阐释，而关于制度影响的讨论则更为持久，最新的著作有《国家为什么会失败》。
我觉得影响因素实在太多了，地理这种影响可能要放在文明这种超长框架中去思考，而制度的影响则是立竿见影的。
如果把经济体比喻为一个有机的生命体，地理貌似一个人的出生地，不可迁移，制度则更像是后天修炼的内功，可以变化。
（四）
深圳，用开放型的制度+卓越的地理位置在过去四十多年塑造了罕见的辉煌，现在的深圳已经是世界的深圳，非常耀眼。
今天，深圳的地理位置依然在这里，而最新的进展是对创新的重视，它布局了不少重量级大学，用以应对AI时代的到来。
可以想见，随着制度中的开放+创新不断深入，深圳仍能先行先试、保留先手、敢闯敢拼，那它仍将是一个机会之城。
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  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/c.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000565s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=c460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000780s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000287s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000292s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000483s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000193s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000568s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 477508 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000403s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1771314756 WHERE `id` = 477508 [ RunTime:0.006291s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000253s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 477508 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000420s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 477508 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000597s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 477508 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000616s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 477508 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.004399s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 477508 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000801s ]
0.086465s