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深圳人抄底入场,开始报复性买房

  • 2026-06-15 15:02:20
深圳人抄底入场,开始报复性买房

积压 3 年的改善需求集中爆发

之前限购严、利率高、预期不稳，大家一直观望。
  • 现在政策放开，卖一买一置换链条打通，大量家庭冲核心区次新、海景、学区大平层。
贝壳统计的数据：截至5月27日，今年5月全市一二手住宅累计成交8976套，同比增长33%；
南山区成最大赢家。新政满月，不管新房还是二手房，成交量的同比增幅都领先其他区域。
有客户从股市里套现出来买房，金额从几千万到上亿不等；
有不少从香港、浙江、沈阳等外地过来的买家，用真金白银看好深圳。
有人的地方，就有住房需求。作为一线城市，深圳去年常住人口1824.85万，同比增加25.9万人；今年3月末，深圳的资金总量达到152636.36亿，同比增长9.3%。
有钱、有人、有产业的深圳，刚性改善需求旺盛。只要市场能稳住，购买力必然会回归。

深圳核心区房子太稀缺

土地极少、新增供应有限，好地段、好景观、好学区的房子越卖越少。
  • 南山、蛇口、深圳湾这类稀缺资源型房产，被认为抗跌、保值，资金抢着进。

市场预期反转，怕再涨上去

连续多月量价齐升，尤其南山豪宅、学区房涨得快。
  • 买家普遍心态：再等又贵了、又没了，恐慌性入场。

深圳经济强、高收入人群多

产业强、高收入群体集中，购买力充足。
  • 2000–3000 万级大平层、顶豪成交火爆，说明有钱、敢买。
刚需敢于进场，背后有一个朴素的原因：房价跌到很多普通人买得起了。
五年前卖500万的房子，现在普遍降了接近一半；而现在500万预算，可以买到五年前近1000万的房子。叠加低首付低利率，从上车门槛的角度来说，买房正在变得越来越容易。
与此同时，在核心区限购松绑后，被压抑的换房需求集中释放，这是推动豪宅和优质次新成交的主力。
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  137. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/c.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/driver/File.php ( 2.41 KB )
  138. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/c.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-template/src/template/contract/DriverInterface.php ( 0.86 KB )
  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/c.460.net.cn/runtime/temp/a3df6b94aede6ebd0d2926ccdfcd20d5.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/c.460.net.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000450s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=c460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000735s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000301s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.004293s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000626s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.003661s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000670s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 603572 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000373s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1781555047 WHERE `id` = 603572 [ RunTime:0.002432s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000962s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603572 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001067s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 603572 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002382s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603572 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.024147s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603572 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001926s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603572 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.022420s ]
0.135637s