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深圳楼市核心指数回撤36%降至5万区间 市场进入筑底期

  • 2026-05-27 21:51:17
深圳楼市核心指数回撤36%降至5万区间 市场进入筑底期

深圳二手房房价走势

趋势解读

深圳楼市的底，到底在哪里？看看这张长达6年的走势图，真相一目了然。

作为分析师，我最关注的不是近期的微跌，而是这条曲线背后的深层逻辑。从2021年初8万+的巅峰，一路回调到如今的5万出头，核心指数累计回撤高达36%！这意味着什么？意味着过去几年深圳楼市的“虚胖”水分已经被极其残酷地挤出，资产价格正加速回归理性的基本面。

值得注意的是图表末端的一个细节：指数在5月初触及50646的低点后，出现了0.01%的微弱反弹。虽然只是极其微小的一个跳动，但结合近期逐渐放缓的跌势来看，这往往是市场进入“筑底期”的信号。单边急跌的阶段大概率已经结束，接下来将是漫长的横盘与买卖双方的心理博弈。

给市场的两点建议：卖家请彻底放弃“重回2021巅峰”的定价幻想，尊重当下的价格体系以换取流动性；而对于一直观望的刚需和改善型买家来说，现在的“安全垫”已经足够厚。不要妄想精准抄底，在目前这个挤干泡沫的高性价比区间，去核心地段挑一套优质物业，才是最聪明的选择。

推荐小程序

楼市日历（量），实时掌握楼市量能；

冰山查成交（价），更快、更全的查房价小程序；

冰山指数（势），及时准确反映房价走势。

三个小程序分别从交易量能、真实价格、趋势动能切入，相互印证、彼此补充，构建起对楼市全面、先行的分析体系，无限接近楼市真相。

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深圳楼市:涨了但又没完全涨

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000799s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=c460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001536s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000851s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000642s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001366s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000563s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001619s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 591454 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001058s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1779898718 WHERE `id` = 591454 [ RunTime:0.002437s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000734s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 591454 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001338s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 591454 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001107s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 591454 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001812s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 591454 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002581s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 591454 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002938s ]
0.189850s