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深圳业主:价格还要降多少才能把房子卖出去?

  • 2026-06-23 13:58:32
深圳业主:价格还要降多少才能把房子卖出去?
好消息是，2026年初终于把房子卖了。
坏消息是，亏了100多万卖的。
V女士在社交平台上更新了把深圳房子卖掉的消息，自嘲“当了一次大冤种”。
这样的卖房分享在社交平台上并不少见，这几年随着市场调整，深圳楼市已经转到了买方市场，有业主曾愤怒吐槽，自己诚意挂牌卖房，但买家带着屠龙刀来砍价。
有的业主已顺利“上岸”，有的血亏挂牌却依然无人问津，经纪人还劝说要继续降价。
问题是，还要降多少才能把房子卖出去？
90%业主不能接受亏本卖房
但有人血亏100万+才能“上岸”
前段时间，乐有家研究中心联合深房中协、微博做了一份调研，主题是2026年深圳楼市走势判断及置业需求。
调研结果显示，90%业主都不能接受亏本卖房，其中33%业主最低出售价要高于总成本价的10%以上（总成本价为购房总价+利息），33%业主最低出售价要高于总成本的5%-10%以内，保本卖房的占8%。
意愿上，没人愿意亏本卖，但实际交易中，部分业主已经割了大肉。
部分在2020-2021年打新潮中入市的次新房，更是集中体现了业主“血亏”二字。
例如蛇口赤湾的半山臻境，当年开盘均价约10.14万/㎡，最低约9.12万/㎡，第三方小程序@行舟深房 显示，去年至今这个小区的成交价在7.24-8.12万/㎡之间，跌破开盘价。
例如新安的万科大都会，当年开盘均价约9.34万/㎡，最低8.11万/㎡，如今二手房成交单价出现了5字头。不过这个小区有回迁房，不排除是回迁房业主低价出售。
▲图源@行舟深房
V女士2018年买了宝安小户型，总价330万，2021年巅峰时曾有过400万+的行情，她没舍得卖。
去年挂牌，自己先“自砍”一大刀，以250多万的价格放盘，今年初以230多万的价格成交，算上7年多的利息，血亏170多万。
而愿意割肉卖掉，是因为V女士有置换计划。“这是置换成本最低的窗口期。与其纠结数字，不如腾出资金和购房资格。”
亏本卖房各有各的原因，除了置换，投资客扛不住、或者自住家庭月供压力太大不得不卖也是其中原因。
如果再差一点就沦落到法拍，上个月南山桃源村一套约74㎡的法拍房，2021年业主买下的价格是600万，如今成交价254万。
回到最初的问题，业主要降多少才能把房子卖出去？
参考乐有家研究中心监测的数据，2025年深圳二手住宅的平均议价率为9.2%，年底达到11.2%，意味着1000万的房子，买家可以“砍”100多万。
这只是平均数据，区位、配套、楼龄、朝向等不具备优势的房源，议价空间会更大，业主要做好心理准备。
业主在放盘时还要做一下功课，梳理自家成交行情，若想顺利卖房，挂牌价建议不要脱离小区实际成交情况。
2026年
深圳房价会更便宜吗？
这几年看下来，深圳市场的成交量是稳住了，进入到2026年，据深圳贝壳研究院统计，今年农历腊月前22天（即截至2月9日），贝壳深圳合作门店二手房签约量较去年农历同期增长21%。
但价格还没有太大起色。
社交平台上，有网友发帖问“2026年，深圳的房价会更便宜吗？”
这个帖子下有200多条回复。
有人说很难。
“现在的价格基本没人卖房了，7成人的买入价已经低于现在的房价，再加上已经付的利息，卖就是‘亏本兑现’，不卖那就是浮亏。”
“如果不是特别缺钱，感觉不会有太多人贱卖。”
也有人觉得房价还会继续往下走。
“深圳还得降价”
“二手房还有捡漏的机会。”
乐有家的调查显示，在成交价走势的判断中，认为成交价维稳的占比最多，占比43%，看涨的占比30%。整体看，购房者对2026年深圳楼市的量价走势以“量涨价稳”为主。
乐有家营销总裁贺玲此前表示，深圳二手住宅成交量三连涨，市场底部特征明显，2026年是价格“回稳”的关键一年。
你觉得呢？

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000729s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=c460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000876s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000404s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000284s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000521s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000209s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000539s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 489480 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.005775s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1782211829 WHERE `id` = 489480 [ RunTime:0.006564s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000293s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489480 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000458s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 489480 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001398s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489480 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001108s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489480 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.008509s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 489480 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.009263s ]
0.109039s