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深圳的房子似乎企稳开始上涨

  • 2026-05-13 22:14:43
深圳的房子似乎企稳开始上涨

深圳的房子似乎企稳开始上涨

这几天看了福田的房子，很明显的感受是卖方业主的预期明显提升。
尤其是公积金新政的推波助澜，石厦有个业主 原来 499 万的房子立刻改价改为了 520。当然，中介说可以谈，499 有机会，但原来肯定是挂 499 卖 488 这样子。
三月数据多个城市明显环比提升，四月数据值得期待下。
简单回顾下 21 年高峰之后的几次翻红：
1. 2023 年 3 月份微幅的翻红，这个是跟当时全国疫情防控解除有关
2. 2024 年 9 月底出台新政之后，二手房的量能暴增
3.2024 年 11 月到 2025 年 2 月，房价连续 4 个月小涨。2025 年 3 月份之后，房价再次转入下跌。
4. 今年 1 月，房价跌幅收窄。2 月和 3 月，房价重新翻红。3 月份的房价环比涨幅是 0.18%。
中介当下也提到，五一看房火爆，这个行情是否可以延续值得观察下。
如果判断企稳，刚需上车和改善房可能是个好机会。但如果一波小阳春过后依然漫长阴跌，那就继续等。优势在我。
所以我当下的结论，可以看起来，多观察，看准再下手。
（图一为胡志明 landmark 社区，越南正在经历 中国 21 年之前的疯狂上涨）

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.005836s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=c460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.045410s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.011142s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.011340s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000943s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000371s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000798s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 574304 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000514s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1778951495 WHERE `id` = 574304 [ RunTime:0.025726s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000595s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 574304 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000963s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 574304 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000838s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 574304 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.008749s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 574304 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.063920s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 574304 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.015518s ]
0.681070s