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深圳楼市能不能稳住,还需要时间观察!

2026-04-18 20:42:24

深圳楼市能不能稳住,还需要时间观察!

最近，深圳楼市确实“阳春”了一把。

看到数据，截止到4月14日，深圳新房住宅备案数据为1290套，环比增长10.1%，跟去年4月同比下降18.2%；

二手住宅备案2506套，环比增长26.37%，但跟去年同期相比，略降4.35%，按照这个趋势，大概率会追平今年1月的小高峰5281套。

除了住宅外，商业和写字楼的表现，这几个月其实也是不错的。

去年12月份和今年3月份，都有一个爆发式增长。

主要还是得益于前两个月，政策将商业物业首付款从5成降到3成，加上这些年商业物业的价格下跌，租金回报率普遍回到3-4%以上；叠加存款利息下降，大家更愿意投入到这一类物业。

但是，深圳楼市跟其他城市很不一样，由于土地的稀缺，加上前期的充分开发，新房供应和成交占比，始终只占深圳住宅市场的1/3左右，而占大头的二手房数据，才能代表深圳的楼市实际情况。

这个月的二手住宅成交，有一部分是上个月成交，到这个月才办手续的滞后数据，我们可以估计在10%。如果到月底，成交没有同比超过这个数值，都不算增长。

根据数据，深圳房价近半年走势，还是在持续走低，只是年后这两个月，相对有些波动，有企稳的迹象，但整体趋势，还是往下震荡。

每年3-4月份都是“小阳春”，5月份还有翘尾。所以，想判断深圳楼市是否真正“止跌回稳”，在没重大政策影响的情况下，6月份的数据很关键。

本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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