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深圳市网约车饱和了吗?

  • 2026-06-15 12:38:28
深圳市网约车饱和了吗?
深圳交通部门发布了一则风险提示：
4月深圳网约车单车日均订单量仅有13单。同时，通告明确表示，当前深圳网约车市场总体已经饱和，并提醒有意入行的人谨慎决策，不要轻信“月入过万”的宣传，警惕租车公司和中介套路。
我先说结论：深圳网约车没有饱和，事实上，任何行业都不会饱和。
因为“饱和”本来是一个物理概念。
一个杯子只能装固定容量的水，一个仓库只能堆放固定数量的货物。当容量被占满的时候，我们才说它饱和了。
可市场不是杯子，也不是仓库。市场从来不是一个固定容量的容器。
二十年前，没人相信会有人天天点外卖。十年前，没人相信网约车会改变人们的出行方式。可今天，这些早已成了再普通不过的生活方式。
需求会变化，收入会变化，技术会变化，消费习惯也会变化。
市场规模永远都在变化。
既然市场本身没有固定容量，那么为什么我们总能听到“市场饱和”这样的说法？
因为对于现有从业者来说，减少竞争往往比提高竞争力更容易。
假设你是一名网约车司机。原本100个人分订单。后来变成200个人分订单。你的收入会下降。
竞争者越少，每个人能够分到的订单就越多，收入也会更高。
饭店老板不希望街对面再开一家饭店。
理发师不希望隔壁再出现一家理发店。
出租车司机不希望增加新的出租车牌照。
网约车司机同样不会欢迎越来越多的新司机加入。
因此，当一个行业不断强调“市场饱和”的时候，他们真正想表达的是：不要再有人进来分蛋糕了。
“他们是谁”？他们就是现有的网约车司机群体。他们形成了一种共同利益诉求，希望通过影响舆论和政策，减少新的竞争者进入。
深圳网约车一天13单，能说明什么？说明竞争比过去更激烈了。说明平均收入下降了。
说明这个行业已经告别了高利润时代。但这些都不能证明市场饱和了。
如果跑网约车真的赚不到钱，那么即使没有任何人提醒，也不会有更多的人继续进入这个行业。
因为收入下降本身就是最好的劝退机制。
反过来说，如果还有很多人愿意进入这个行业，本身就说明这里仍然存在机会。
市场不会通过“饱和”调节资源。
市场只会通过利润的高低来调节资源。
市场不需要任何人瞎指挥。
请记住：市场永远不会饱和。
只是竞争让赚钱变得更难了。
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001040s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=c460;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001554s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000756s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000732s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001408s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000626s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001578s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 603103 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.010605s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1781615154 WHERE `id` = 603103 [ RunTime:0.003086s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 64 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001855s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603103 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.012664s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 603103 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.006854s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603103 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.008192s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603103 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.018602s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 603103 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.008657s ]
0.232469s